Quarterly Market Report · National
Q1 2026 National Net Lease Report
March 2026
Comprehensive analysis of Q1 2026 net lease market conditions, including cap rate trends, transaction volume, bid-ask spreads, and sector-by-sector investment activity across retail, office, and industrial segments.
Executive Summary
- 01 Net Lease Cap Rates Decline in Q1 2026 as Office Leads Compression: Single tenant net lease cap rates decreased one basis point to 6.80% in Q1 2026, according to The Boulder Group's First Quarter Net Lease Research Report, with office cap rates compressing the most at 10 basis points to 7.90% and industrial declining five basis points to 7.15%.
- 02 Property Supply Falls 9.8% as Transaction Activity Holds Steady: Single tenant net lease property supply declined 9.8% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, driven by elevated transaction volume in Q4 2025 and continued deal activity in the first quarter, with retail bid-ask spreads narrowing to 23 basis points and industrial spreads tightening to 25 basis points, according to The Boulder Group.
- 03 Market Bifurcation Favors Investment-Grade Credit Assets: The net lease market remains bifurcated between investment-grade credit assets with long lease terms, which continue to attract institutional buyers, 1031 exchange capital, and private investors, and shorter-term or non-rated assets, which face wider spreads and more selective buyer engagement, The Boulder Group reported.
- 04 Net Lease Transaction Volume Expected to Remain Steady Through 2026: Net lease transaction volume is expected to remain steady in 2026 as buyer and seller pricing expectations continue to converge, though the path to further Federal Reserve rate cuts has narrowed to a single reduction anticipated for the year amid persistent inflation concerns, according to The Boulder Group's Q1 2026 Net Lease Research Report.
